On remotes and messages

28 07 2008

The most interesting iPhone app I have seen so far is one that turns it into a remote for Apple TV. Judging by the activity from Apple and MS in this area both agree that integrating currently separate devices is they way forward. And what better way than to control your TV with your phone. I always wondered why I ended up with six different remotes.

The added benefit is that you can use the expanded functionality of a phone to integrate currently separate services. Euro 2008 has just finished, as England were not involved I watched a lot of the games at home alongside my laptop. I would watch the game and discuss it with my friends online and using texts. What struck me was that it would be much easier to have these comments streamed down the side of my TV screen rather than relegated to separate devices.

Mainstream twitter

And this is where the iPhone/Blackberry type remote comes in. It would allow me to add my comments quickly using the remote if it was designed like this. I think it favours a fixed keyboard rather than a touchscreen but it is Apple which has got there first. Admittedly there is no integrated Twitter like service for sports games at the moment but this is the most likely way for Twitter or an equivalent service to go mainstream.

The fact is that most people don’t want to let everyone know what they are doing all the time. There will be specific events like sports events or conferences where people want to use it but most of the time they won’t. Microblogging will change as its users change. In the early days the twitterholics twitter about everything but later adopters won’t do this. Watercooler moments will still happen, they’ll just be liberated from the watercooler.

Pic: Vincent Brown

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On f8

25 07 2008

I should be more interested in f8 than I am considering we’re about to launch a FB app. Yes I read the predictable Valleywag post saying how terrible Zuckerberg was. Then I watched the video and realised he was perfectly competent if slightly dull. The main news seemed to be about what didn’t happen namely FB connect and a payments system.

The real earth-shattering development will be FB connect. It’s great news for users who will be able to link up cross platform without creating a new account – this is how I understand FB connect anyway, correct me in the comments if not. It will promote competition between platforms and allow users to pick the SN which suits them best. I guess FB are doing it because they think they will disproportionately benefit as the best platform. I don’t think there’s much doubt about that right now but it won’t necessarily stay that way forever.

The lack of a payments system exercised some app developers, including the illustrious Max Levchin, who seem to think if there is a payment system people will start paying for apps. Fellow widgetmakers – I tell you now – nobody will ever pay money for a FB app. Look at Causes – people only donate on average 21c per year on things they actually support. They will not pay anything for your apps. Accept it. People pay for iPhone apps because people pay for iPhones. If they won’t pay for FB they won’t pay for FB apps.

Advertising is the game. We think we have cracked the way of getting advertisers to pay far higher rates on our FB app and we should be ready for release in the Autumn (Fall) so you can install it and judge for yourselves then.

Read more:
On friend bankruptcy
On useful advertising
On the future of social networks

Pic: phil-it

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On Steve Jobs

24 07 2008

When an unusually gaunt Steve Jobs unveiled the 3g iPhone last month speculation about his heath started again. In response to a recent query Apple released a statement saying that Jobs’ health was a private matter. Some think otherwise and argue that since Apple’s performance is so tightly bound up with Jobs that he is public property as much as his company.

I disagree. Jobs is a private individual and the state of his health is a matter for him. It is common knowledge that he had pancreatic cancer which was successfully operated on in 2003. If Apple shareholders were sufficiently concerned about his health then they could have sold when that procedure became public knowledge and no doubt many did. Those who held on can have no complaints. They know Jobs’ history of illness and they know Apple is a secretive company. If they don’t like it they can sell their shares. Some complain this means selling at a loss but anyone buying shares in a company knows they can go down, if they do not they should not be trading stocks. If you want steady, risk free rises stick to Treasury Bills.

Jobs was responsible for a remarkable turnaround in Apple’s fortune and has made its shareholders very rich. When Jobs took over in 1997 Apple’s share price hovered under $5, at their recent peak in Jan 2008 Apple shares touched $200. Apple’s share price cannot keep climbing at this rate. The company hit a grand slam with the iPod and it will not repeat that success with the iPhone and Apple TV, the problem Apple shareholders have is that the assumption it will is already priced into Apple stock.

Right place, right time

The iPhone will be a success in its niche – high end mobile devices – but it won’t break out the same way the iPod did. The iPod rode the convergence of a number of factors; the emergence of filesharing, the expansion of broadband internet which facilitated the massive transfer of small files and mp3 compression which allowed music files to be shrunken to a tenth of their size. All that was required to complete the revolution was a small, cool, easy to use music player with equally beautiful software. These were Apple’s strengths, Jobs spotted the trend, bet the company and won. This will never happen again. At least not to Apple. The stock is already too high, swollen by the expectation that Apple will reign supreme.

All CEOs are human, Steve Jobs has his strengths and weaknesses and people who invest in Apple know what they are. If they are nervous about the future the answer is simple: sell.

Pic: Danny Novo

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On iPhone

10 06 2008

Well, Apple finally released the 3G iPhone. For my money this is the real thing. Apple made some money by releasing an over-priced, under-featured test version to rinse the Apple fans then released this one for everyone else. When I saw the original specs I thought at minimum I would need 3G and 16Gb storage to even think about buying. Now I have decided I also need a better camera. In the end I waited for the fifth gen iPod, in the meantime my Nokia 1208 rules – fifteen quid, no contract.

They also relinquished their revenue sharing deal with AT&T which suggests they will be network agnostic from now on. This is a good move from Apple. they make 65% profit on the units so if network providers want to sub them down to $199 to increase sales Apple benefits far more than they would from a rev share with a single network. Again this adds to my suspicion that the old iPhone was a test version.

The new iPhone is good but they are still missing some opportunities. I think they will need to build up some more features that exploit the wireless properly such as song swapping. Getting the labels on board will be the challenge but I know from our dealings with them that they are open to new ideas if you have a clear explanation of how it benefits them to participate they are showing interest.





On keyboardless berries

17 05 2008

Gizmodo reports RIM has plans for a keyboardless Blackberry called Thunder. Apart from having a silly name it will fail for the reason I gave in my earlier berry post: play someone else’s game and you are dead. Why buy this (admittedly a mock up):

When you can buy this:

iPhone





On apples and berries

16 05 2008

This week Research in Motion announced the Blackberry Bold. I don’t really care too much about the specs, I assume smartphones pretty much do the same thing on top of the basics – email, music, photos, web browsing etc. The two things which count the most for me are design and battery life. I don’t know anything about its battery but this thing looks good:

Blackberry Bold

The early Blackberries did not. I’m sure they functioned perfectly well but it is clear nobody really cared what they looked like. And in the early days it didn’t matter as Blackberries were the only show in town when it came to portable email. More genrally mobile device design has been absolutely shocking. Motorola phones looked ok but the UI is awful, at least it was when I had one and I never went back. Nokia are getting better but still put out some terrible looking devices like the E61 and Prism range.

There is one simple reason for the recent focus on better mobile design: Apple. Jobs-era products are always beautiful and when Apple entered the market they set an exceptionally high standard with the iPhone. People can harp on the lack of 3G which is a dealbreaker for most people in Europe. I would never buy a non-3G smartphone, in fact I doubt whether a smartphone lacking 3G can be described as such but this is a temporary problem. In his keynote announcing the original iPhone Jobs said the stumbling block with 3G was battery life and once they had sorted that out the iPhone would have 3G.

RIM had already started tidying up their act in anticipation of Apple’s entry with the Pearl and Curve. With the Bold they have opted to stick with the keyboard which is the Blackberry’s main distinguishing feature. I think this is a good call, RIM have managed to evolve the design of the Blackberry in a way which has struck a good balance between capturing the sleekness of an iPhone in a device which is still recognisably a Blackberry. If they had gone the whole way to a iPhone style touchscreen they would have lost. When you start to play your opponent’s game you are dead because you can never be the original. A Blackberry without a dinky keyboard is not a Blackberry. The name itself comes from the way the keys make the device look which underlines the importance of design.

Everything flows from good design. The reason facebook is better than MySpace is that it has far superior design. Pages on facebook are clean and uniform whereas MySpace is an eye popping mess. Facebook has deteriorated with the proliferation of external apps leading to attempts by the company to simplify things again. I don’t think there is much mileage in being ‘the new facebook’ but it would be inetresting to see what would happened if someone launched a new social network with a simple design and minimal features.

On our statup we hired a designer before even a developer. When the developers did come on board I emphasised the importance of our design. I wanted it to be stark and different as I think there is no value looking similar to every other website, in startups if you are not radical you are dead. Why would anyone switch to something that is 5% better than the incumbent? Design is not all of this but it is part of it.

The Modernism exhibition at the V&A had a big influence on me, in particular the work of Ladislav Sutnar. When I wrote the design spec for our site it was Sutnar’s influence that I emphasised, in particular the simple shapes and the almost monochrome, sixties look – the banner for this blog is a Sutnar design. The V&A summed up Modernist philosophy as:

Modernists had a utopian desire to create a better world. They believed in technology as the key means to achieve social improvement and in the machine as a symbol of that aspiration. All of these principles were frequently combined with social and political beliefs (largely left-leaning) which held that design and art could, and should, transform society.

I am struck by the paralells between Modernism and web startups. I recognise the tendency of startup founders to proclaim their companies as changing the world. This is rarely true on an individual company level but together we are all part of the patchwork of ideas which make up the web and put together the impact is undeniable both in commerce and beyond.

Barack Obama is rasing more small donations than any other candidate in history to the extent that this is now his main source of funding. This is a far better way than reliance on large corporate donors or state funding. Another example is Kiva which has used the web to connect people in the first world directly to those in the third world. Microfinance is a much more efficent way of redistributing wealth as it makes a direct connection between people and ultimately it is trade, not aid, which will bring an end to poverty. And it is the web which is helping make it happen.